Golden Globes 2026 Predictions

Expert predictions and odds analysis for Golden Globes 2026. Our forecasts for who will win at the 83rd Golden Globe Awards based on critics' awards, buzz, and historical patterns.

Note: These Golden Globes predictions are based on available information, critic awards, and industry buzz. Golden Globes winners are chosen by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA), which can be unpredictable compared to other awards shows.

Top Golden Globes 2026 Predictions

Our expert forecasts for the major Golden Globes categories

Best Motion Picture – Drama

The Brutalist

Will Win

Critical darling with strong momentum

Odds

1/2

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Emilia Pérez

Will Win

Awards season frontrunner

Odds

2/5

Best Actor – Drama

Adrien Brody

Will Win

Breakout performance generating buzz

Odds

4/6

Best Actress – Drama

Fernanda Torres

Dark Horse

Strong competition from Angelina Jolie

Odds

5/4

Best Supporting Actor

Kieran Culkin

Will Win

Sweeping supporting actor categories

Odds

1/3

Expert Predictions

What major publications are predicting for Golden Globes 2026

Variety

Variety

The Brutalist to win Best Drama

Hollywood Reporter

Hollywood Reporter

Emilia Pérez dominates musical/comedy

Entertainment Weekly

Entertainment Weekly

Surprise wins in TV categories

Category-by-Category Predictions

Detailed breakdown of predictions for all major categories

Motion Picture Categories

  • Best Motion Picture – DramaThe Brutalist
  • Best Motion Picture – Musical or ComedyEmilia Pérez
  • Best Actor – Motion Picture DramaAdrien Brody
  • Best Actress – Motion Picture DramaFernanda Torres
  • Best Actor – Motion Picture Musical or ComedySebastian Stan

Television Categories

  • Best Television Series – DramaShōgun
  • Best Television Series – Musical or ComedyHacks
  • Best Actor – Television Series DramaHiroyuki Sanada
  • Best Actress – Television Series DramaMaya Erskine
  • Best Actor – Television Series Musical or ComedyJeremy Allen White

Make Your Own Predictions

Test your Golden Globes knowledge by making your own predictions for who will win. Compare your picks against our expert predictions and see how you stack up when the Golden Globes winners are announced!

How Golden Globes Predictions Work

Golden Globes predictions are based on several factors: precursor awards (critics' choices, guild awards), industry buzz and momentum, HFPA preferences, and historical patterns. Unlike the Oscars, where Academy members vote, Golden Globes winners are chosen by the approximately 90 members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA).

This smaller voting body means Golden Globes predictions can be more volatile than other awards shows. The HFPA has been known to favor stars they've interviewed or hosted at events, and they love to recognize international productions and celebrities.